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Myths Light rail will serve only 3% of Austin's population Light rail takes only 2% of all cars off of the road Light rail does little more than attract people who are already riding buses Buses are as efficient as light-rail, without the cost of expensive rail construction Light rail makes no impact on pollution reduction The density along the proposed light-rail route is anywhere from a half to a fifth of the density that is generally required to support a rail system Light rail will lower property values and destroy homes and businesses along the route line The $900 million Dallas system may have 40,000 riders a day, but it only gets 4,000 cars off the road Claim: Light rail will serve only 3% of Austin's population. Fact: Anti-light rail forces frequently quote this statistic in order to scare the public towards a misleading conclusion that "everyone" uses roads and "no one" uses rail.
Claim: Light rail takes only 2% of all cars off of the road. Fact: This is utter nonsense. The argument is faulty in its approach and its figures. Again, unless Austin is going to wall itself off and not allow anyone new to live here, we are going to see an indefinite increase in the number of cars in the area. Therefore, attempting to reduce the number of cars is a faulty approach because new cars are coming in faster than it is possible to redirect or remove them. The proper debate is over how to manage the growth in demand for transportation capacity.
Claim: it's cheaper to buy a Lexus or Mercedes for each person who would ride light rail than it is to build the train. Fact: This is a road-worn argument that has no basis in logic and has been used by every anti-transit effort ever mounted. When we look at an "apples to apples," fully burdened cost comparison of cars vs. light-rail, we find that auto costs are 50% to 100% greater than transit costs. According to the AAA and the US Department of Transportation, a Chevrolet costs about 25 cents per passenger-mile (average peak hour occupancy 1.15) to buy, including the cost of the loan. It will cost about seven cents per passenger-mile for insurance and eight cents for gasoline at just over a dollar a gallon. Add two cents for oil changes, two cents for tire replacement, two cents for repairs, a penny for deductibles on insurance, two cents for incidentals and it costs 49 cents per passenger-mile. In addition to these user charges, 16 additional cents are needed to subsidize the roads the car drives on, and anywhere from ten cents to fifty cents for parking the car, depending upon where it is located. The total burdened operating costs for a car can total over $1.00 per passenger mile. By comparison, light rail averages 35 cents per passenger-mile outside of subways, plus about 20 cents for capital recovery (amortization of investment). Claim: Light rail does little more than attract people who are already riding buses. Fact: Not true. Almost every study and survey provides data showing buses and trains attract different sets of riders. Bus passengers tend to be from low to middle income groups. In a phenomenon called "rail bias," light rail riders tend to be more representative of the middle and upper-middle class who were previously dependent on their cars.
Claim: Buses are as efficient as light-rail, without the cost of expensive rail construction. Fact: Not true and quite misleading.
Claim: Double decking Mopac is much more effective than light rail for addressing Austin's north/south commute traffic. Fact: Wrong.
Claim: Light rail makes no impact on pollution reduction Fact: This is a false claim. Unless Austin is going to wall itself off and not allow anyone else to move here, we are going to see continued increases in the number of cars in the area. Therefore, attempting to reduce pollution through traffic reduction is a broken approach because new cars are coming in faster than it is possible to redirect or remove them. Instead we should focus on managing the growth in demand for transportation capacity, in order to achieve our three goals of decreased congestion, increased mobility, and improved air quality.
Claim: The density along the proposed light-rail route is anywhere from a half to a fifth of the density that is generally required to support a rail system. Fact: This is an inaccurate and misleading claim that puts the cart before the horse.
Claim: Light rail will lower property values and destroy homes and businesses along the route line. Fact: The exact opposite is true.
Claim: The $900 million Dallas system may have 40,000 riders a day, but it only gets 4,000 cars off the road. Fact: Those are not accurate numbers for vehicles taken off the road. Turnstile counts and ticket sales indicate 45,000 people travel DART daily. if all of those are roundtrips that means 22,500 people a day are not in cars. Even if you assume that only half of the light rail riders were previously driving their cars, there are still 11,250 cars off the road. Add to this the average of four "induced" trips per day per household (i.e.: incidental trips that would normally be taken with a car but are now taken with the train). Multiplying 11,250 (people on the train,) by 4 (induced trips that would have otherwise been taken with a car) indicates that Dallas streets have 45,000 less car trips a day because of DART.
Claim: investing $1 billion over ten years would allow Austin to fully upgrade its road system to a level of adequacy that our city planners should have built twenty years ago.
Fact: Not even close to true. The anti-rail group ROADS (Reclaim Our Allocated Dollars) claims that we can build a) an elevated highway loop around Austin, b) an east/west highway through the center of Austin, c) upgrade all bypasses and roads, and possibly double decking Mopac, and d) complete this entire effort in ten years and for just a billion dollar cost. This plan is poorly thought out and flawed at several levels, and it has been called "extreme" by Mayor Watson.
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